Tactical voting guide · East of England

Hemel Hempstead

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Hemel Hempstead and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 55.0%.

Conservative recommended 26.5%
Labour 25.8%
Reform UK 24.7%
Liberal Democrat 9.7%
Green 7.8%
Restore Britain 3.8%
Other 1.7%

The 2024 general election in Hemel Hempstead

Labour won Hemel Hempstead in 2024 with 38.2% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 27.2% and Reform UK 17.4%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 44.6% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.