Tactical voting guide · London

Hornchurch and Upminster

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Hornchurch and Upminster and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 73.0%.

Reform UK recommended 39.3%
Conservative 30.8%
Labour 15.9%
Liberal Democrat 5.8%
Green 4.5%
Restore Britain 3.0%
Other 0.8%

The 2024 general election in Hornchurch and Upminster

Conservative won Hornchurch and Upminster in 2024 with 32.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 32.5% and Reform UK 28.4%.

Spread the word

Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.