Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
The right-of-centre vote in Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll SNP — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: SNP. Right-of-centre parties combined: 45.9%.
of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 7.
The 2024 general election in Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock
Labour won Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock in 2024 with 36.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 22.6% and Reform UK 8.7%.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Central Ayrshire Reform UK
- East Kilbride and Strathaven Reform UK
- Kilmarnock and Loudoun Reform UK
- Rutherglen Reform UK
- Coatbridge and Bellshill Reform UK
- Dumfries and Galloway Conservative
- East Renfrewshire Conservative
- Glasgow South Reform UK
- Airdrie and Shotts Reform UK
- Dumfriesshire, Clydesdale and Tweeddale Conservative
- Hamilton and Clyde Valley Reform UK
- North Ayrshire and Arran Reform UK
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.