Tactical voting guide · South East

Horsham

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Horsham is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 44.8%.

91.8%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 9 in 10.

Liberal Democrat 43.3%
Conservative recommended 27.0%
Reform UK 15.2%
Labour 7.2%
Green 4.2%
Restore Britain 2.5%
Other 0.6%

The 2024 general election in Horsham

Liberal Democrat won Horsham in 2024 with 39.0% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 34.4% and Reform UK 11.0%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 45.5% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.