Our Recommendation
Vote Conservative
Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Arundel and South Downs and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 57.9%.
The 2024 general election in Arundel and South Downs
Conservative won Arundel and South Downs in 2024 with 40.2% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 40.2% and Reform UK 13.5%.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare Arundel and South Downs with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- Chichester Reform UK
- Epsom and Ewell Conservative
- Horsham Conservative
- Mitcham and Morden Reform UK
- Bognor Regis and Littlehampton Conservative
- Carshalton and Wallington Conservative
- Dorking and Horley Conservative
- Havant Reform UK
- Kingston and Surbiton Conservative
- Sutton and Cheam Conservative
- Tooting Conservative
- Clapham and Brixton Hill Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.