Tactical voting guide · East Midlands

Lincoln

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Lincoln is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 51.0%.

23.5%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 4.

Labour 33.8%
Reform UK recommended 28.6%
Conservative 17.5%
Green 9.1%
Restore Britain 4.9%
Liberal Democrat 4.9%
Other 1.2%

The 2024 general election in Lincoln

Labour won Lincoln in 2024 with 43.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 23.0% and Reform UK 18.0%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.