Tactical voting guide · East Midlands

Louth and Horncastle

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Louth and Horncastle and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 74.4%.

Conservative recommended 35.3%
Reform UK 34.6%
Labour 13.9%
Green 5.5%
Restore Britain 4.6%
Liberal Democrat 4.3%
Other 1.9%

The 2024 general election in Louth and Horncastle

Conservative won Louth and Horncastle in 2024 with 37.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 37.5% and Reform UK 25.7%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.