Tactical voting guide · East of England

Hertford and Stortford

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Hertford and Stortford is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 48.8%.

15.3%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 7.

Labour 28.6%
Conservative recommended 24.9%
Reform UK 20.4%
Green 15.4%
Liberal Democrat 6.7%
Restore Britain 3.5%
Other 0.5%

The 2024 general election in Hertford and Stortford

Labour won Hertford and Stortford in 2024 with 38.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 29.7% and Reform UK 15.4%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 45.1% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.