Tactical voting guide · East of England

Ely and East Cambridgeshire

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Ely and East Cambridgeshire is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 44.8%.

69.6%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 2 in 3.

Liberal Democrat 38.4%
Conservative recommended 23.9%
Reform UK 18.2%
Labour 10.9%
Green 5.2%
Restore Britain 2.7%
Other 0.7%

The 2024 general election in Ely and East Cambridgeshire

Liberal Democrat won Ely and East Cambridgeshire in 2024 with 32.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 31.8% and Reform UK 12.3%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 44.1% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.