Tactical voting guide · East of England

South Basildon and East Thurrock

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in South Basildon and East Thurrock and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 71.7%.

Reform UK recommended 47.7%
Conservative 18.0%
Labour 17.8%
Restore Britain 5.9%
Green 4.8%
Other 3.0%
Liberal Democrat 2.8%

The 2024 general election in South Basildon and East Thurrock

Reform UK won South Basildon and East Thurrock in 2024 with 30.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 25.7% and Reform UK 30.8%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.