Our Recommendation
Vote Reform UK
The right-of-centre vote in North Ayrshire and Arran is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll SNP — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.
Projected vote share
Projected winner: SNP. Right-of-centre parties combined: 36.8%.
of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 4 in 5.
The 2024 general election in North Ayrshire and Arran
Labour won North Ayrshire and Arran in 2024 with 39.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 14.1% and Reform UK 8.1%.
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Registered at two addresses? Compare North Ayrshire and Arran with your other seat.
Nearby constituencies
- East Renfrewshire Conservative
- Glasgow South Reform UK
- Paisley and Renfrewshire North Reform UK
- Paisley and Renfrewshire South Reform UK
- Airdrie and Shotts Reform UK
- Central Ayrshire Reform UK
- Coatbridge and Bellshill Reform UK
- Glasgow North Reform UK
- Glasgow South West Reform UK
- Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West Reform UK
- Rutherglen Reform UK
- Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock Conservative
Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.