Tactical voting guide · Scotland

East Renfrewshire

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in East Renfrewshire is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 32.9%.

79.3%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 4 in 5.

Labour 29.9%
SNP 28.0%
Conservative recommended 18.3%
Reform UK 12.1%
Green 4.7%
Restore Britain 2.5%
Liberal Democrat 2.3%
Other 2.2%

The 2024 general election in East Renfrewshire

Labour won East Renfrewshire in 2024 with 43.7% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 16.9% and Reform UK 4.7%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.