Tactical voting guide · Scotland

Falkirk

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Falkirk is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll SNP — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: SNP. Right-of-centre parties combined: 33.4%.

94.4%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 9 in 10.

SNP 32.7%
Labour 23.7%
Reform UK recommended 20.7%
Conservative 9.2%
Green 5.5%
Restore Britain 3.6%
Liberal Democrat 2.3%
Other 2.2%

The 2024 general election in Falkirk

Labour won Falkirk in 2024 with 43.0% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 8.4% and Reform UK 7.9%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.