Tactical voting guide · London

Barking

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Barking is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 41.7%.

43.9%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 2 in 5.

Labour 32.8%
Reform UK recommended 25.8%
Green 14.2%
Conservative 12.5%
Other 6.7%
Liberal Democrat 4.5%
Restore Britain 3.4%

The 2024 general election in Barking

Labour won Barking in 2024 with 44.5% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 11.8% and Reform UK 14.2%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.