Tactical voting guide · London

Erith and Thamesmead

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Erith and Thamesmead is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 41.7%.

96.6%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — nearly all.

Labour 41.1%
Reform UK recommended 23.9%
Conservative 14.0%
Green 9.1%
Liberal Democrat 6.3%
Restore Britain 3.7%
Other 1.9%

The 2024 general election in Erith and Thamesmead

Labour won Erith and Thamesmead in 2024 with 55.1% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 13.8% and Reform UK 14.7%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.