Tactical voting guide · South East

Gillingham and Rainham

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Gillingham and Rainham and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 62.4%.

Conservative recommended 30.3%
Reform UK 27.6%
Labour 25.1%
Green 7.2%
Liberal Democrat 4.6%
Restore Britain 4.4%
Other 0.9%

The 2024 general election in Gillingham and Rainham

Labour won Gillingham and Rainham in 2024 with 37.8% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 28.2% and Reform UK 21.4%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 49.5% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.