Tactical voting guide · South East

Mid Sussex

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Mid Sussex is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 40.9%.

96.3%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — nearly all.

Liberal Democrat 40.2%
Conservative recommended 21.7%
Reform UK 16.5%
Labour 11.9%
Green 6.5%
Restore Britain 2.7%
Other 0.5%

The 2024 general election in Mid Sussex

Liberal Democrat won Mid Sussex in 2024 with 39.6% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 27.1% and Reform UK 11.1%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.