Tactical voting guide · South East

East Surrey

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in East Surrey and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 63.2%.

Conservative recommended 34.2%
Reform UK 25.1%
Labour 16.1%
Liberal Democrat 12.2%
Green 6.8%
Restore Britain 3.9%
Other 1.7%

The 2024 general election in East Surrey

Conservative won East Surrey in 2024 with 35.6% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 35.6% and Reform UK 17.0%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.