Tactical voting guide · South East

Dover and Deal

Right-of-centre win projected

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

Reform UK is the strongest right-of-centre party in Dover and Deal and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Reform UK. Right-of-centre parties combined: 59.9%.

Reform UK recommended 32.5%
Labour 27.6%
Conservative 22.5%
Green 6.9%
Restore Britain 4.8%
Liberal Democrat 4.1%
Other 1.5%

The 2024 general election in Dover and Deal

Labour won Dover and Deal in 2024 with 39.6% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 21.7% and Reform UK 23.8%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 45.5% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.