Tactical voting guide · South East

Canterbury

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in Canterbury is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Labour — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Labour. Right-of-centre parties combined: 45.5%.

46.0%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 1 in 2.

Labour 32.9%
Reform UK recommended 22.1%
Conservative 19.6%
Green 14.5%
Liberal Democrat 6.4%
Restore Britain 3.8%
Other 0.7%

The 2024 general election in Canterbury

Labour won Canterbury in 2024 with 41.4% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 23.0% and Reform UK 14.4%.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.