How to vote tactically in Orpington — back Conservative

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

Conservative is the strongest right-of-centre party in Orpington and is on course to win. Back them to secure the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Conservative. Right-of-centre parties combined: 69.9%.

Conservative recommended 43.1%

Reform UK 24.4%

Labour 15.2%

Liberal Democrat 10.1%

Green 4.2%

Restore Britain 2.5%

Other 0.6%

The 2024 general election in Orpington

Conservative won Orpington in 2024 with 38.0% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 38.0% and Reform UK 19.3%.

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Registered at two addresses? Compare Orpington with your other seat.

Nearby constituencies

Beckenham and Penge Conservative
Brighton Pavilion Conservative
Croydon East Conservative
East Surrey Conservative
Hove and Portslade Reform UK
Lewisham East Reform UK
Brighton Kemptown and Peacehaven Reform UK
Bromley and Biggin Hill Conservative
Croydon South Conservative
East Worthing and Shoreham Reform UK
Eltham and Chislehurst Conservative
Lewes Conservative

Browse all 632 constituencies →

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.