Tactical voting guide · South West

St Ives

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Reform UK

The right-of-centre vote in St Ives is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll Liberal Democrat — uniting behind Reform UK wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: Liberal Democrat. Right-of-centre parties combined: 44.9%.

92.8%

of Conservative and Restore Britain voters switching to Reform UK would be enough to win it — around 9 in 10.

Liberal Democrat 43.3%
Reform UK recommended 21.6%
Conservative 19.2%
Labour 5.7%
Green 5.0%
Restore Britain 4.1%
Other 1.1%

The 2024 general election in St Ives

Liberal Democrat won St Ives in 2024 with 52.0% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 23.4% and Reform UK 13.5%.

Spread the word

Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.