Tactical voting guide · Scotland

Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey

Winnable if the right unites

Our Recommendation

Vote Conservative

The right-of-centre vote in Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey is split. Together the right-of-centre parties out-poll SNP — uniting behind Conservative wins the seat.

Projected vote share

Projected winner: SNP. Right-of-centre parties combined: 51.0%.

1.6%

of Reform UK and Restore Britain voters switching to Conservative would be enough to win it — around 1 in 60.

SNP 31.2%
Conservative recommended 30.8%
Reform UK 17.5%
Labour 7.9%
Liberal Democrat 5.5%
Green 3.7%
Restore Britain 2.7%
Other 0.8%

The 2024 general election in Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey

SNP won Moray West, Nairn and Strathspey in 2024 with 32.1% of the vote. On the right: Conservative 30.0% and Reform UK 7.5%. Together the right-of-centre parties took 37.5% — more than the winner — and still lost the seat.

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Nearby constituencies

Projections combine the 2024 result, published seat-level MRP polls, current national polling and recent local election results. They are a guide to where the right-of-centre vote is split, not a forecast of the result. How the recommendations work.